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Pakistan Affairs

Water Profile of Pakistan

Pakistan's main water source is the Indus River system, which includes the Indus River itself and 4 other tributaries. This accounts for 80% of Pakistan's surface water, which flows from upstream India. Per capita availability declined from 5,260 m^3 to less than 900 m^3. 93% of all water in Pakistan is used in agricultural, while the rest is split between residential and industrial usage.

Domestic Hydropolitics: Internal Water Issues

Water Scarcity and Population Growth

  • Pakistan is facing a population crisis due to rapid population growth, which intensifies the pressure on an already limited water resource.
  • Climate change effects, such as reduced rainfall and melting glaciers, make water more scarce.

Inter-Provincial Water Dispute

  • The Indus River System Authority (IRSA) is often criticized for biased allocation of water resources.
  • Especially between Punjab and Sindh, disputes are frequent over diversions (e.g., the Chashma-Jehlum Link Canal).
  • Lack of data collection and analysis undermines trust. IRSA is accused of data manipulation and a lack of transparency.

Inefficient Irrigation and Agricultural Practices

  • 60% of irrigation water is wasted due to outdated flood irrigation techniques.
  • Water-intensive cropping patterns (e.g., sugarcane in Sindh, rice in Punjab)

Lack of Water Storage Capacity

  • Pakistan only possesses 30 days of water storage capacity compared to the global minimum, which is 120 days.
  • Most of the newer dam projects are still under construction.
  • Siltation in existing dams further reduces their water storage capability.

Weakness of Institutions

  • Overlapping and conflicting roles between WAPDA, IRSA, and provincial irrigation departments.
  • Weak enforcement of water pricing, conservation, and zoning regulations.
  • Water policy (2018) exists but lacks comprehensive implementation.

Regional Hydropolitics: Transboundary Water Issues

Indus Waters Treaty (1960)

  • This treaty was brokered by the World Bank between India and Pakistan in 1960.
  • It gave exclusive rights to Pakistan over western rivers (Indus, Jhelum, and Chenab) and to India over eastern rivers (Ravi, Beas, Sutlej).
  • Although the treaty has survived wars between both nations, it has been increasingly strained.

India's Hydropower Projects and Diversion Plans

  • India is constructing dams on the western rivers Jhelum and Chenab. Pakistan accuses India of violating the "no-storage" principle, a move that undermines the treaty's spirit

Geopolitical Dynamics and Water Weaponization

  • In light of the Pulwama attack (2019), India's leaders' statement on reviewing the treaty has raised fears of water weaponization.
  • Pakistani rivers rely on the Himalayan glaciers, which are controlled in part by China. Any China-India dispute could have side effects for Pakistan.
  • Regional cooperation remains weak under the SAARC framework.

Resolving the Crisis

Strengthen Domestic Water Governance

  • Empower Isra, add data telemetry, and enhance interprovincial cooperation on domestic water issues.
  • Implement National Water Policy (2018) with provincial buy-in.

Invest in Smart Irrigation Techniques

  • Changing Pakistan's irrigation methods from flood irrigation to drip irrigation could greatly enhance water conservation in the most water-consuming sector.
  • Educating and training farmers on these new techniques is crucial for long-term sustainable agriculture and water conservation.

Build Storage and Conservation Infrastructure

  • Expedite the construction of Diamer-Bhasha and Mohmand dams.
  • Build infrastructure for rainwater harvesting and floor reservoirs.

Diplomatic Engagement on Transboundary Issues

  • Develope new water sharing agreements under changing climate realities.
  • Utilize third party arbitrations for implementing new proposals such as throug World Bank.
  • Enforce water pricing and metering for high consumption sectors.
  • Penalize pollution and illegal groundwater pumping.

"The wars of the next century will be about water." — Ismail Serageldin, former VP of World Bank

References

https://www.economist.com/international/2024/08/26/the-poisonous-global-politics-of-water https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2025/05/02/why-are-india-and-pakistan-fighting-over-water https://www.britannica.com/place/Indus-River/Irrigation#ref495860 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HnJ4gjVZqao