quartz/content/Notes/Pakistan Affairs/Challenges and Opportunities in redefining Pak-US relations in a post-911 and post-Afghanistan context.md
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Pakistan Affairs

The PakistanUnited States relationship has historically been defined by strategic necessities rather than mutual convergence. From the Cold War alliances to the post-9/11 cooperation in the War on Terror, relations have remained transactional and security-focused. With the withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan (2021), this relationship has entered a transitional phase, creating both challenges and opportunities for a more balanced, multi-dimensional relationship rooted in economic, technological, and regional cooperation.

Pak-US Relationship Timeline

!timeline of pak-us relations mindmap.excalidraw

Challenges in Redefining PakUS Relations

Trust Deficit

US has concerns over Pakistans alleged "double dealing" during the War on Terror, while Pakistan harbors resentment over drone strikes, Bin Laden operation, and conditional aid (e.g., Kerry-Lugar Bill).

Afghanistan Fallout

The US blames Pakistan for Taliban resurgence and regional instability but at the same time Pakistan faces spillover effects: TTP militancy, refugee influx, and border insecurity.

US Indo-Pacific Strategy

US Indo-Pacific strategy prioritizes India as a counterweight to China. On the other hand Pakistans growing tilt toward China (CPEC, BRI) raises US suspicion.

Aid Dependency Perception

The relationship between Pakistan and US is often framed in terms of financial assitance, not mutual respect.

Opportunities for Reset and Cooperation

"There are no permanent friends or enemies in international relations, only permanent interests." — Lord Palmerston

Counterterrorism Cooperation (2.0)

Despite mistrust, intelligence sharing and joint counterterrorism efforts remain vital as both TTP and other terror groups post a threat to both Pakistan and US's interests.

Trade and Investment

Since the beginning, Pakistan's relation with the US has based on military and strategic alliance. But since 2021, Pakistan has been moving towards geoeocnomics, and with enough economic reforms, relations with US could be renewed based on trade and foreign investment.

Regional Diplomacy & Mediation

Even though the US has withdrawn from Afghanistan, Pakistan could still serve as a mediator between Afghanistan and the US for developing diplomatic ties. Pakistan's ties with China, the Gulf, and the Middle East also gives it a unique reach.

US interests in the Indo-Pacific region and ties with India and their impacts on PakUS relations The ups and downs in Pakistan-US relations since the Cold War

References

Pakistan got its way in Afghanistan. Now what? Terrified Afghans flee to Pakistan as U.S. completes troop withdrawal Pak-US ties in a changing international environment