quartz/content/vault/econometrics/confidence intervals.md
2022-06-07 16:56:28 -06:00

1.1 KiB

#econ #stats

You can take a sample, and get a sample mean. The sample mean has a distribution of possible answers depending on all the different samples you can take. There is also a sample variance, which uses the sample mean and thus has its own distribution and thus its own mean and standard deviation.

standard error: it's the standard deviation of the sample mean.

The mean of the sample means is the same as the mean of the original distribution.

graphs|200 \bar x is an estimate of \mu_x.

It's a point estimate. You use that point estimate plus a margin of error to get a confidence interval.

On different initial distributions, you have different methods for estimating sample means and variances.

The mean of a sample mean estimator is the mean of the sample. The estimator of the variance is \frac{\sigma^2}{n} where n is the number of samples, and you use the two to make a confidence interval. If you don't know \sigma^2 of the population, you have to estimate that as well, and it just means that you need to use the T table and not the normal distribution table. ^ae395f